סמינר במימון חשבונאות

George Nishiotis,  University of Cyprus

Using daily abnormal currency returns for the universe of countries with flexible exchange rates, we document local currency

depreciations ahead of public sovereign debt downgrade announcements. Consistent with the private information hypothesis,

the effect is stronger in lower institutional quality countries and holds after we control for concurrent public information and for

publically available rumors about the forthcoming downgrades. Our results persist when abnormal currency returns are adjusted for

carry and dollar risk factors, interest rate differentials and local stock market returns. Finally, the currency depreciations are permanent,

providing evidence for a link between fundamentals and currency markets.